Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.462441 0.540933 0.629073 0.735463 0.860530 1.003041 1.177982
2024-12-15 0.349335 0.454381 0.585772 0.762607 0.995085 1.291267 1.698840
2024-12-22 0.282223 0.394687 0.546140 0.765864 1.078014 1.507872 2.148785
2024-12-29 0.240995 0.357407 0.523857 0.780583 1.169206 1.739718 2.648639
2025-01-05 0.203135 0.316696 0.487583 0.765333 1.209352 1.898139 3.060329
2025-01-12 0.175652 0.286290 0.460528 0.757308 1.255521 2.067654 3.510848
2025-01-19 0.156082 0.264910 0.443570 0.761223 1.318973 2.270632 4.044755
2025-01-26 0.146225 0.257820 0.448330 0.801067 1.447329 2.598867 4.845860
2025-02-02 0.137161 0.250574 0.451385 0.837561 1.573867 2.940401 5.724156
2025-02-09 0.127474 0.240713 0.448166 0.861531 1.679726 3.257550 6.604875
2025-02-16 0.117023 0.227923 0.437672 0.869766 1.755653 3.526813 7.431217
2025-02-23 0.106325 0.213191 0.421458 0.864171 1.802471 3.743570 8.181095
2025-03-02 0.095000 0.196023 0.398819 0.843508 1.817558 3.902183 8.843770
2025-03-09 0.090051 0.191314 0.400821 0.875040 1.949392 4.330121 10.187978
2025-03-16 0.083122 0.181469 0.390763 0.878790 2.019956 4.632842 11.291818
2025-03-23 0.078047 0.174962 0.386940 0.895757 2.122855 5.023883 12.676393
2025-03-30 0.070897 0.162882 0.369264 0.878179 2.141345 5.218197 13.600427
2025-04-06 0.065126 0.153239 0.355895 0.868929 2.178636 5.463509 14.699997
2025-04-13 0.060844 0.146564 0.348585 0.873442 2.251062 5.807677 16.126848
2025-04-20 0.059419 0.146609 0.357286 0.919370 2.437375 6.474778 18.573795
2025-04-27 0.057788 0.145932 0.364122 0.961444 2.619920 7.160476 21.203102
2025-05-04 0.055461 0.143195 0.365445 0.989085 2.767260 7.772840 23.730870
2025-05-11 0.052411 0.138202 0.360360 0.998581 2.865075 8.260875 25.970681